Well, as the old saying goes, there's good news and there's bad news. The good news is that he still has a fairly live arm and the Rangers have a shot at resigning him, but the bad news is that he he has some mechanical issues that causes him to fatigue and lose arm strength before he reaches a 100 pitches in his starts.
In the evaluation of his big three of pitching mechanics...leg extension, hip rotation, and follow through. Matt shows a minus 25 hip rotation which means he's using his arm almost exclusively in his delivery when he steps open after his leg extension and throws before there's any hip rotation at all. Pitchers with this flaw usually develop scar tissue in the rotator group of their throwing shoulder which in turn reduces their velocity. You can add an inconsistent follow through to his mechanical woes, as well...though not as severe as his lack of hip rotation. He only loses 5 points in this category. To sum it up, Matt will have a 30% probability of injury this season with a year or two left in his arm before scar tissue catches up with him.
OIP (Overall Injury Probability): 30%
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