The Rangers are seeking the Tigers’ Rick Porcello, a 6’5” RHP, that's currently in Detroit's starting rotation. He has 4 pitches in his
repertoire…a hard sinker that averages in the low to mid 90s (and can be
effective with his 4 seam fastball as well…especially since he’s not afraid to
pitch inside), a very decent slider, fair curve, and circle change up. More importantly, he’s 24 and has better than
average mechanics which have been improving yearly. He has long career potential (longevity) with all star caliber ability.
Leg Extension: 0 pts deducted
Hip Rotation: -1
Follow Through: -1
Misc: -3 balance
His mechanically sound delivery project him to be an innings eater (200+) this
year, with a 15% OIP (Overall Injury Probability).
Naturally, he is being sought by many other teams because of
his future with ace potential, but will command a high salary in his free
agent years.
The Rangers are also considering trading for Boston’s Andrew
Bailey. Bailey would serve as the Rangers second set up man for closer Joe
Nathan. Bailey’s mechanics are poorly…to be nice. He throws mostly with his arm which made it was difficult to give him any positive marks for his hip rotation, follow
through, and balance. He has good leg extension until he falls backwards on his release (not a good thing unless you’ve bought into Dr. Mike Marshall’s pitching
physics). He has graded out to a 50% OIP,
and quite frankly, with his mechanics, I’m surprised he hasn’t been injured in
one of his spring training outings, yet. I hope the best for him, but he’s a big
risk on any pitching staff as a reliever because of his mechanics... and even if
he miraculously avoids injury, he will be limited to a small pitch count per outing,
require more time for recovery after an outing, and a minimal number of innings that he'll available in a season.
It’s clear that Rick Porcello is the most sensible choice with high performance expectations as opposed to Andrew Bailey's 'a train wreck waiting to happen' remaining career projection.
Nolan, please step in and offer your advice on this one.
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